Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on August 9?

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Current Probability

0.8%

24h Change

-3.0 pp

Signal Score

12/100

Data Confidence

Low (32)

Signal passed quality checks

Market data

Updated 16 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-10 02:07 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h history insufficient for probability change
Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $14,949

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.8%

24h Change

-3.0 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

Coverage

21h of stored history

22 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 10, 02:00 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/10/2026, 2:00:00 AM	0.8%
8/10/2026, 1:00:00 AM	2.3%
8/10/2026, 12:00:00 AM	4.3%
8/9/2026, 11:00:00 PM	3.4%
8/9/2026, 10:00:00 PM	3.0%
8/9/2026, 9:00:00 PM	3.1%
8/9/2026, 8:00:00 PM	3.0%
8/9/2026, 7:00:00 PM	5.0%
8/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM	3.8%
8/9/2026, 5:00:00 PM	3.9%
8/9/2026, 4:00:00 PM	4.0%
8/9/2026, 3:00:00 PM	4.0%
8/9/2026, 2:00:00 PM	5.0%
8/9/2026, 1:00:00 PM	10.5%
8/9/2026, 12:00:00 PM	9.0%
8/9/2026, 11:00:00 AM	10.5%
8/9/2026, 10:00:00 AM	14.0%
8/9/2026, 9:00:00 AM	17.0%
8/9/2026, 8:00:00 AM	23.5%
8/9/2026, 7:00:00 AM	20.0%
8/9/2026, 6:00:00 AM	24.5%
8/9/2026, 5:00:00 AM	18.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-1.5 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

24h Volume

$37.8K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$14.9K

Market Significance

Moderate (66)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 10, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 12/100.

Probability Momentum 0

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 79

Persistence 0

Data Confidence Low (32)

Next Steps

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