National Bank Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Elina Svitolina

Open · Resolves in 8 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

1.4%

24h Change

-28.1 pp

Signal Score

68/100

Data Confidence

Medium (67)

24h probability fell 28.1pp

Market data

Updated 5 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-11 02:02 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $350,779
Medium data confidence (67)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

1.4%

24h Change

-28.1 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

46 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 11, 02:00 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/11/2026, 2:00:00 AM	1.4%
8/11/2026, 1:00:00 AM	52.5%
8/11/2026, 12:00:00 AM	28.5%
8/10/2026, 11:00:00 PM	28.5%
8/10/2026, 10:00:00 PM	28.5%
8/10/2026, 9:00:00 PM	28.5%
8/10/2026, 8:00:00 PM	28.5%
8/10/2026, 7:00:00 PM	28.5%
8/10/2026, 6:00:00 PM	28.5%
8/10/2026, 5:00:00 PM	29.5%
8/10/2026, 4:00:00 PM	29.5%
8/10/2026, 3:00:00 PM	29.5%
8/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM	29.5%
8/10/2026, 1:00:00 PM	29.5%
8/10/2026, 12:00:00 PM	29.5%
8/10/2026, 11:00:00 AM	30.5%
8/10/2026, 10:00:00 AM	30.5%
8/10/2026, 9:00:00 AM	30.5%
8/10/2026, 8:00:00 AM	29.5%
8/10/2026, 7:00:00 AM	30.5%
8/10/2026, 6:00:00 AM	30.5%
8/10/2026, 5:00:00 AM	30.5%
8/10/2026, 4:00:00 AM	30.5%
8/10/2026, 3:00:00 AM	30.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-51.2 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

24h Volume

$955.8K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$350.8K

Market Significance

High (79)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 8 days

End Date

Aug 18, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 68/100.

Probability Momentum 94

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 100

Persistence 73

Data Confidence Medium (67)

Next Steps

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