Hamburg: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Vitaliy Sachko

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

42.0%

24h Change

-7.0 pp

Signal Score

35/100

Data Confidence

Medium (66)

24h probability fell 7.0pp

Market data

Updated 3 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-10 15:03 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $200,179
Medium data confidence (66)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

42.0%

24h Change

-7.0 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

Coverage

1d of stored history

35 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 10, 03:00 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/10/2026, 3:00:00 PM	42.0%
8/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM	57.5%
8/10/2026, 1:00:00 PM	64.5%
8/10/2026, 12:00:00 PM	52.5%
8/10/2026, 11:00:00 AM	52.5%
8/10/2026, 10:00:00 AM	52.5%
8/10/2026, 9:00:00 AM	52.5%
8/10/2026, 8:00:00 AM	52.5%
8/10/2026, 7:00:00 AM	52.5%
8/10/2026, 6:00:00 AM	52.5%
8/10/2026, 5:00:00 AM	52.5%
8/10/2026, 4:00:00 AM	52.5%
8/10/2026, 3:00:00 AM	52.0%
8/10/2026, 2:00:00 AM	52.5%
8/10/2026, 1:00:00 AM	52.5%
8/10/2026, 12:00:00 AM	52.5%
8/9/2026, 11:00:00 PM	52.5%
8/9/2026, 10:00:00 PM	52.5%
8/9/2026, 9:00:00 PM	52.5%
8/9/2026, 8:00:00 PM	51.5%
8/9/2026, 7:00:00 PM	51.5%
8/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM	51.5%
8/9/2026, 5:00:00 PM	51.5%
8/9/2026, 4:00:00 PM	50.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-15.5 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

24h Volume

$298.5K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$200.2K

Market Significance

High (76)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 17, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 35/100.

Probability Momentum 23

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 95

Persistence 67

Data Confidence Medium (66)

Next Steps

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