Hamburg: Raul Brancaccio vs Filip Jianu

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

100.0%

24h Change

+39.0 pp

Signal Score

72/100

Data Confidence

Medium (67)

24h probability rose 39.0pp

Market data

Updated 1 hour ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-10 16:57 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $224,088
Medium data confidence (67)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

100.0%

24h Change

+39.0 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

37 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 10, 04:45 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/10/2026, 4:45:00 PM	100.0%
8/10/2026, 4:00:00 PM	88.0%
8/10/2026, 3:00:00 PM	70.5%
8/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM	72.5%
8/10/2026, 1:00:00 PM	70.5%
8/10/2026, 12:00:00 PM	62.5%
8/10/2026, 11:00:00 AM	62.5%
8/10/2026, 10:00:00 AM	62.5%
8/10/2026, 9:00:00 AM	62.5%
8/10/2026, 8:00:00 AM	62.5%
8/10/2026, 7:00:00 AM	62.5%
8/10/2026, 6:00:00 AM	61.5%
8/10/2026, 5:00:00 AM	61.5%
8/10/2026, 4:00:00 AM	62.5%
8/10/2026, 3:00:00 AM	62.5%
8/10/2026, 2:00:00 AM	62.5%
8/10/2026, 1:00:00 AM	62.5%
8/10/2026, 12:00:00 AM	62.5%
8/9/2026, 11:00:00 PM	62.5%
8/9/2026, 10:00:00 PM	63.0%
8/9/2026, 9:00:00 PM	62.5%
8/9/2026, 8:00:00 PM	62.5%
8/9/2026, 7:00:00 PM	63.0%
8/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM	64.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+29.5 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

24h Volume

$150.3K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$224.1K

Market Significance

High (74)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 17, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 72/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 92

Persistence 85

Data Confidence Medium (67)

Next Steps

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