Hamburg: Eduardo Ribeiro vs Max Alcala Gurri

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

100.0%

24h Change

+79.5 pp

Signal Score

73/100

Data Confidence

Medium (68)

24h probability rose 79.5pp

Market data

Updated 3 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-10 15:03 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $367,260
  • Medium data confidence (68)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 100.0% · Aug 10, 03:00 PM

3% 51% 100% Aug 9 Aug 9 Aug 10 Aug 10 Current 100.0% · 1d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

100.0%

24h Change

+79.5 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

Coverage

1d of stored history

35 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 10, 03:00 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/10/2026, 3:00:00 PM 100.0%
8/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM 11.5%
8/10/2026, 1:00:00 PM 15.5%
8/10/2026, 12:00:00 PM 18.5%
8/10/2026, 11:00:00 AM 18.5%
8/10/2026, 10:00:00 AM 18.5%
8/10/2026, 9:00:00 AM 18.5%
8/10/2026, 8:00:00 AM 17.5%
8/10/2026, 7:00:00 AM 17.5%
8/10/2026, 6:00:00 AM 17.5%
8/10/2026, 5:00:00 AM 17.5%
8/10/2026, 4:00:00 AM 18.5%
8/10/2026, 3:00:00 AM 18.5%
8/10/2026, 2:00:00 AM 18.5%
8/10/2026, 1:00:00 AM 18.5%
8/10/2026, 12:00:00 AM 19.5%
8/9/2026, 11:00:00 PM 19.5%
8/9/2026, 10:00:00 PM 19.5%
8/9/2026, 9:00:00 PM 19.5%
8/9/2026, 8:00:00 PM 19.5%
8/9/2026, 7:00:00 PM 19.5%
8/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM 19.5%
8/9/2026, 5:00:00 PM 20.0%
8/9/2026, 4:00:00 PM 19.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+88.5 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

24h Volume

$104.4K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$367.3K

Market Significance

High (74)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 17, 2026

Attention Score

48

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 73/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 90
Persistence 94
Data Confidence Medium (68)

Next Steps

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