Brownsburg: Gauthier Onclin vs Yi Zhou

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

50.5%

24h Change

-21.0 pp

Signal Score

48/100

Data Confidence

Medium (60)

24h probability fell 21.0pp

Market data

Updated 12 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-10 05:37 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $86,365
  • Medium data confidence (60)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 50.5% · Aug 10, 05:30 AM

47% 59% 72% Aug 9 Aug 9 Aug 9 Aug 10 Current 50.5% · 1d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

50.5%

24h Change

-21.0 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

Coverage

1d of stored history

26 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 10, 05:30 AM

View history table
Time Probability
8/10/2026, 5:30:00 AM 50.5%
8/10/2026, 5:00:00 AM 50.5%
8/10/2026, 4:00:00 AM 50.5%
8/10/2026, 3:00:00 AM 50.5%
8/10/2026, 2:00:00 AM 50.5%
8/10/2026, 1:00:00 AM 50.5%
8/10/2026, 12:00:00 AM 50.5%
8/9/2026, 11:00:00 PM 50.5%
8/9/2026, 10:00:00 PM 50.5%
8/9/2026, 9:00:00 PM 50.5%
8/9/2026, 8:00:00 PM 50.5%
8/9/2026, 7:00:00 PM 50.5%
8/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM 50.5%
8/9/2026, 5:00:00 PM 50.5%
8/9/2026, 4:00:00 PM 50.5%
8/9/2026, 3:00:00 PM 50.5%
8/9/2026, 2:00:00 PM 50.5%
8/9/2026, 1:00:00 PM 56.0%
8/9/2026, 12:00:00 PM 60.5%
8/9/2026, 11:00:00 AM 60.0%
8/9/2026, 10:00:00 AM 60.0%
8/9/2026, 9:00:00 AM 50.0%
8/9/2026, 8:00:00 AM 49.0%
8/9/2026, 7:00:00 AM 56.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

24h Volume

$62.9K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$86.4K

Market Significance

High (72)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 17, 2026

Attention Score

39

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 48/100.

Probability Momentum 70
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 87
Persistence 20
Data Confidence Medium (60)

Next Steps

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