Brownsburg: Ugo Blanchet vs Rei Sakamoto

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

59.0%

24h Change

+29.5 pp

Signal Score

59/100

Data Confidence

Medium (59)

24h probability rose 29.5pp

Market data

Updated 15 minutes ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-11 07:14 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $83,327
Medium data confidence (59)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

59.0%

24h Change

+29.5 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

51 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 11, 07:00 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/11/2026, 7:00:00 AM	59.0%
8/11/2026, 6:00:00 AM	59.5%
8/11/2026, 5:00:00 AM	58.5%
8/11/2026, 4:00:00 AM	58.5%
8/11/2026, 3:00:00 AM	59.5%
8/11/2026, 2:00:00 AM	58.5%
8/11/2026, 1:00:00 AM	82.5%
8/11/2026, 12:00:00 AM	27.5%
8/10/2026, 11:00:00 PM	22.5%
8/10/2026, 10:00:00 PM	22.5%
8/10/2026, 9:00:00 PM	22.5%
8/10/2026, 8:00:00 PM	22.5%
8/10/2026, 7:00:00 PM	22.5%
8/10/2026, 6:00:00 PM	22.5%
8/10/2026, 5:00:00 PM	23.5%
8/10/2026, 4:00:00 PM	23.5%
8/10/2026, 3:00:00 PM	23.5%
8/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM	23.5%
8/10/2026, 1:00:00 PM	23.5%
8/10/2026, 12:00:00 PM	23.5%
8/10/2026, 11:00:00 AM	26.5%
8/10/2026, 10:00:00 AM	26.5%
8/10/2026, 9:00:00 AM	26.5%
8/10/2026, 8:00:00 AM	29.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-0.5 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

24h Volume

$99.6K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$83.3K

Market Significance

High (73)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 17, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 59/100.

Probability Momentum 98

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 89

Persistence 10

Data Confidence Medium (59)

Next Steps

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