Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 11?

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Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-40.0 pp

Signal Score

61/100

Data Confidence

Medium (60)

24h probability fell 40.0pp

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-11 22:49 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $33,449
Medium data confidence (60)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-40.0 pp

7d Change

Only 4d of listing history

Coverage

3d of stored history

69 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 11, 10:45 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/11/2026, 10:45:00 PM	0.1%
8/11/2026, 10:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/11/2026, 9:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/11/2026, 8:45:00 PM	0.1%
8/11/2026, 8:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/11/2026, 7:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/11/2026, 6:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/11/2026, 5:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/11/2026, 4:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/11/2026, 3:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/11/2026, 2:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/11/2026, 1:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/11/2026, 11:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/11/2026, 10:45:00 AM	0.1%
8/11/2026, 10:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/11/2026, 9:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/11/2026, 8:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/11/2026, 7:00:00 AM	0.4%
8/11/2026, 6:00:00 AM	79.5%
8/11/2026, 5:00:00 AM	67.0%
8/11/2026, 4:00:00 AM	47.0%
8/11/2026, 3:00:00 AM	56.5%
8/11/2026, 2:00:00 AM	45.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 4d of listing history

24h Volume

$68.9K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$33.4K

Market Significance

High (77)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 11, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 61/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 85

Persistence 20

Data Confidence Medium (60)

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