Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 16?

Closed View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-3.1 pp

Signal Score

25/100

Data Confidence

High (73)

24h probability fell 3.1pp

Market data

Updated 35 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-16 14:27 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $42,516
  • High data confidence (73)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

No samples yet

Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.

Browse other markets

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-3.1 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

0 stored snapshots

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-0.2 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$160.4K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$42.5K

Market Significance

High (72)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 16, 2026

Attention Score

21

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 25/100.

Probability Momentum 11
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 89
Persistence 44
Data Confidence High (73)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.