Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)

Closed View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

0.5%

24h Change

-46.0 pp

Signal Score

67/100

Data Confidence

Medium (64)

24h probability fell 46.0pp

Market data

Updated 5 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-11 02:02 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $45,271
Medium data confidence (64)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.5%

24h Change

-46.0 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

Coverage

1d of stored history

32 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 11, 02:00 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/11/2026, 2:00:00 AM	0.5%
8/11/2026, 1:00:00 AM	16.5%
8/11/2026, 12:00:00 AM	39.5%
8/10/2026, 11:00:00 PM	47.5%
8/10/2026, 10:30:00 PM	47.5%
8/10/2026, 10:00:00 PM	47.5%
8/10/2026, 9:00:00 PM	47.5%
8/10/2026, 8:00:00 PM	46.5%
8/10/2026, 7:00:00 PM	45.5%
8/10/2026, 6:00:00 PM	45.5%
8/10/2026, 5:00:00 PM	45.5%
8/10/2026, 4:00:00 PM	45.5%
8/10/2026, 3:00:00 PM	45.5%
8/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM	45.5%
8/10/2026, 1:00:00 PM	47.5%
8/10/2026, 12:00:00 PM	48.5%
8/10/2026, 11:00:00 AM	48.5%
8/10/2026, 10:00:00 AM	48.5%
8/10/2026, 9:00:00 AM	48.5%
8/10/2026, 8:00:00 AM	48.5%
8/10/2026, 7:00:00 AM	48.5%
8/10/2026, 6:00:00 AM	48.5%
8/10/2026, 5:00:00 AM	48.5%
8/10/2026, 4:00:00 AM	47.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-16.0 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

24h Volume

$89.6K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$45.3K

Market Significance

High (78)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 10, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 67/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 87

Persistence 61

Data Confidence Medium (64)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.

Back to radar Browse all markets View on Polymarket ↗