Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5

Closed View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

34.5%

24h Change

-13.5 pp

Signal Score

47/100

Data Confidence

Medium (67)

24h probability fell 13.5pp

Market data

Updated 5 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-11 02:02 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $38,421
  • Medium data confidence (67)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 34.5% · Aug 11, 02:00 AM

33% 41% 49% Aug 10 Aug 10 Aug 10 Aug 11 Current 34.5% · 1d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

34.5%

24h Change

-13.5 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

Coverage

1d of stored history

29 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 11, 02:00 AM

View history table
Time Probability
8/11/2026, 2:00:00 AM 34.5%
8/11/2026, 1:00:00 AM 45.5%
8/11/2026, 12:00:00 AM 45.5%
8/10/2026, 11:00:00 PM 45.5%
8/10/2026, 10:00:00 PM 44.5%
8/10/2026, 9:00:00 PM 43.5%
8/10/2026, 8:00:00 PM 44.5%
8/10/2026, 7:00:00 PM 44.5%
8/10/2026, 6:00:00 PM 44.5%
8/10/2026, 5:00:00 PM 44.5%
8/10/2026, 4:00:00 PM 44.5%
8/10/2026, 3:00:00 PM 46.0%
8/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM 45.5%
8/10/2026, 1:00:00 PM 45.5%
8/10/2026, 12:00:00 PM 45.5%
8/10/2026, 11:00:00 AM 46.5%
8/10/2026, 10:00:00 AM 47.5%
8/10/2026, 9:00:00 AM 47.5%
8/10/2026, 8:00:00 AM 47.5%
8/10/2026, 7:00:00 AM 47.5%
8/10/2026, 6:00:00 AM 47.5%
8/10/2026, 5:00:00 AM 47.5%
8/10/2026, 4:00:00 AM 47.5%
8/10/2026, 3:00:00 AM 48.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-11.0 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

24h Volume

$99.2K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$38.4K

Market Significance

High (78)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 11, 2026

Attention Score

31

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 47/100.

Probability Momentum 45
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 87
Persistence 89
Data Confidence Medium (67)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.