UFC 330: Charles Johnson vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Main Card)

Open · Resolves in 3 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

49.5%

24h Change

+27.0 pp

Signal Score

57/100

Data Confidence

High (70)

24h probability rose 27.0pp

Market data

Updated 2 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-13 02:21 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $70,175
High data confidence (70)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

49.5%

24h Change

+27.0 pp

7d Change

Only 3d of listing history

Coverage

3d of stored history

79 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 13, 02:15 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/13/2026, 2:15:00 AM	49.5%
8/13/2026, 2:00:00 AM	49.5%
8/13/2026, 1:00:00 AM	49.5%
8/13/2026, 12:00:00 AM	49.5%
8/12/2026, 11:00:00 PM	49.5%
8/12/2026, 10:45:00 PM	49.5%
8/12/2026, 10:00:00 PM	49.5%
8/12/2026, 9:00:00 PM	49.5%
8/12/2026, 8:45:00 PM	49.5%
8/12/2026, 8:00:00 PM	49.5%
8/12/2026, 7:00:00 PM	49.5%
8/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM	49.5%
8/12/2026, 5:00:00 PM	49.5%
8/12/2026, 4:00:00 PM	49.5%
8/12/2026, 3:00:00 PM	49.5%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM	22.0%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM	22.5%
8/12/2026, 12:00:00 PM	21.5%
8/12/2026, 11:00:00 AM	21.5%
8/12/2026, 10:00:00 AM	21.5%
8/12/2026, 9:00:00 AM	21.5%
8/12/2026, 8:00:00 AM	22.5%
8/12/2026, 7:00:00 AM	22.5%
8/12/2026, 6:00:00 AM	22.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 3d of listing history

24h Volume

$94.3K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$70.2K

Market Significance

High (72)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 3 days

End Date

Aug 16, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 57/100.

Probability Momentum 90

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 89

Persistence 20

Data Confidence High (70)

Next Steps

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