National Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Ben Shelton

Open · Resolves in 6 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

21.5%

24h Change

-24.0 pp

Signal Score

65/100

Data Confidence

Medium (69)

24h probability fell 24.0pp

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-11 22:49 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $337,233
Medium data confidence (69)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

21.5%

24h Change

-24.0 pp

7d Change

Only 3d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

43 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 11, 10:45 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/11/2026, 10:45:00 PM	21.5%
8/11/2026, 10:00:00 PM	42.5%
8/11/2026, 9:00:00 PM	43.5%
8/11/2026, 8:00:00 PM	43.5%
8/11/2026, 7:00:00 PM	43.5%
8/11/2026, 6:00:00 PM	43.5%
8/11/2026, 5:00:00 PM	43.5%
8/11/2026, 4:00:00 PM	43.5%
8/11/2026, 3:00:00 PM	43.5%
8/11/2026, 2:00:00 PM	43.5%
8/11/2026, 1:00:00 PM	43.5%
8/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM	43.5%
8/11/2026, 11:00:00 AM	43.5%
8/11/2026, 10:00:00 AM	43.5%
8/11/2026, 9:00:00 AM	45.5%
8/11/2026, 8:00:00 AM	45.5%
8/11/2026, 7:00:00 AM	45.5%
8/11/2026, 6:00:00 AM	45.5%
8/11/2026, 5:00:00 AM	45.5%
8/11/2026, 4:00:00 AM	45.5%
8/11/2026, 3:00:00 AM	45.5%
8/11/2026, 2:00:00 AM	45.5%
8/11/2026, 1:00:00 AM	45.5%
8/11/2026, 12:00:00 AM	45.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-22.0 pp

7d Change

Only 3d of listing history

24h Volume

$598.0K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$337.2K

Market Significance

High (78)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 6 days

End Date

Aug 18, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 65/100.

Probability Momentum 80

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 98

Persistence 95

Data Confidence Medium (69)

Next Steps

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