Dota 2: Team Falcons vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Open · Resolves in 1 day View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

81.5%

24h Change

-1.0 pp

Signal Score

30/100

Data Confidence

Medium (68)

24h probability fell 1.0pp

Market data

Updated 2 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-13 02:21 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $215,784
  • Medium data confidence (68)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 81.5% · Aug 13, 02:15 AM

80% 83% 83% Aug 12 Aug 12 Aug 12 Aug 13 Current 81.5% · 3d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

81.5%

24h Change

-1.0 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

Coverage

3d of stored history

67 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 13, 02:15 AM

View history table
Time Probability
8/13/2026, 2:15:00 AM 81.5%
8/13/2026, 2:00:00 AM 81.5%
8/13/2026, 1:00:00 AM 82.5%
8/13/2026, 12:00:00 AM 82.5%
8/12/2026, 11:00:00 PM 82.5%
8/12/2026, 10:00:00 PM 82.5%
8/12/2026, 9:00:00 PM 82.5%
8/12/2026, 8:00:00 PM 82.5%
8/12/2026, 7:00:00 PM 81.5%
8/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM 81.5%
8/12/2026, 5:00:00 PM 82.5%
8/12/2026, 4:00:00 PM 82.5%
8/12/2026, 3:00:00 PM 81.5%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM 81.5%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM 81.5%
8/12/2026, 12:00:00 PM 80.5%
8/12/2026, 11:00:00 AM 82.5%
8/12/2026, 10:00:00 AM 82.5%
8/12/2026, 9:00:00 AM 82.5%
8/12/2026, 8:00:00 AM 82.5%
8/12/2026, 7:00:00 AM 82.5%
8/12/2026, 6:00:00 AM 82.5%
8/12/2026, 5:00:00 AM 82.5%
8/12/2026, 4:00:00 AM 82.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-1.0 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

24h Volume

$75.5K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$215.8K

Market Significance

High (72)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 1 day

End Date

Aug 13, 2026

Attention Score

19

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 30/100.

Probability Momentum 3
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 89
Persistence 100
Data Confidence Medium (68)

Next Steps

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