Astana: Aziz Dougaz vs Alec Deckers

Open · Resolves in 6 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

100.0%

24h Change

Insufficient history

Signal Score

13/100

Data Confidence

Low (33)

Signal passed quality checks

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-11 13:14 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h history insufficient for probability change
Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $181,396

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

100.0%

24h Change

—

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

Coverage

20h of stored history

21 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 11, 01:00 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/11/2026, 1:00:00 PM	100.0%
8/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM	62.0%
8/11/2026, 11:00:00 AM	77.5%
8/11/2026, 10:00:00 AM	75.5%
8/11/2026, 9:00:00 AM	75.5%
8/11/2026, 8:00:00 AM	75.5%
8/11/2026, 7:00:00 AM	76.0%
8/11/2026, 6:00:00 AM	76.5%
8/11/2026, 5:00:00 AM	76.0%
8/11/2026, 4:00:00 AM	76.5%
8/11/2026, 3:00:00 AM	76.5%
8/11/2026, 2:00:00 AM	76.5%
8/11/2026, 1:00:00 AM	76.5%
8/11/2026, 12:00:00 AM	76.5%
8/10/2026, 11:00:00 PM	76.5%
8/10/2026, 10:00:00 PM	76.5%
8/10/2026, 9:00:00 PM	76.5%
8/10/2026, 8:00:00 PM	74.5%
8/10/2026, 7:00:00 PM	74.5%
8/10/2026, 6:00:00 PM	73.5%
8/10/2026, 5:00:00 PM	73.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+38.0 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

24h Volume

$94.4K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$181.4K

Market Significance

High (73)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 6 days

End Date

Aug 18, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 13/100.

Probability Momentum 0

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 90

Persistence 0

Data Confidence Low (33)

Next Steps

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