Astana: Takuya Kumasaka vs Colin Sinclair

Open · Resolves in 6 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

100.0%

24h Change

Insufficient history

Signal Score

14/100

Data Confidence

Low (34)

Signal passed quality checks

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-11 09:03 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h history insufficient for probability change
Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $661,124

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

100.0%

24h Change

—

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

Coverage

16h of stored history

17 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 11, 09:00 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/11/2026, 9:00:00 AM	100.0%
8/11/2026, 8:00:00 AM	74.5%
8/11/2026, 7:00:00 AM	61.5%
8/11/2026, 6:00:00 AM	51.5%
8/11/2026, 5:00:00 AM	51.5%
8/11/2026, 4:00:00 AM	51.5%
8/11/2026, 3:00:00 AM	51.5%
8/11/2026, 2:00:00 AM	51.5%
8/11/2026, 1:00:00 AM	51.5%
8/11/2026, 12:00:00 AM	51.5%
8/10/2026, 11:00:00 PM	51.5%
8/10/2026, 10:00:00 PM	50.5%
8/10/2026, 9:00:00 PM	52.5%
8/10/2026, 8:00:00 PM	54.5%
8/10/2026, 7:00:00 PM	52.5%
8/10/2026, 6:00:00 PM	52.5%
8/10/2026, 5:00:00 PM	52.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+25.5 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

24h Volume

$141.9K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$661.1K

Market Significance

High (74)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 6 days

End Date

Aug 18, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 14/100.

Probability Momentum 0

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 92

Persistence 0

Data Confidence Low (34)

Next Steps

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