Ethereum Up or Down on August 12?

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Current Probability

97.5%

24h Change

+47.0 pp

Signal Score

59/100

Data Confidence

Medium (58)

24h probability rose 47.0pp

Market data

Updated 13 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-12 15:01 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $19,533
Medium data confidence (58)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

97.5%

24h Change

+47.0 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

47 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 12, 03:00 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/12/2026, 3:00:00 PM	97.5%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM	98.6%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM	97.8%
8/12/2026, 12:00:00 PM	96.3%
8/12/2026, 11:00:00 AM	96.1%
8/12/2026, 10:00:00 AM	96.0%
8/12/2026, 9:00:00 AM	90.5%
8/12/2026, 8:00:00 AM	88.5%
8/12/2026, 7:00:00 AM	84.5%
8/12/2026, 6:00:00 AM	88.5%
8/12/2026, 5:00:00 AM	86.5%
8/12/2026, 4:00:00 AM	83.5%
8/12/2026, 3:00:00 AM	81.5%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 AM	82.0%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 AM	77.5%
8/12/2026, 12:00:00 AM	77.5%
8/11/2026, 11:00:00 PM	77.0%
8/11/2026, 10:00:00 PM	78.5%
8/11/2026, 9:00:00 PM	76.5%
8/11/2026, 8:00:00 PM	74.5%
8/11/2026, 7:00:00 PM	57.5%
8/11/2026, 6:00:00 PM	55.5%
8/11/2026, 5:00:00 PM	54.5%
8/11/2026, 4:00:00 PM	50.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-1.1 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

24h Volume

$59.9K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$19.5K

Market Significance

Moderate (68)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 12, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 59/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 82

Persistence 10

Data Confidence Medium (58)

Next Steps

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