Tampa Bay Rays vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5

Closed View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

56.5%

24h Change

+3.0 pp

Signal Score

27/100

Data Confidence

Medium (65)

24h probability rose 3.0pp

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-12 02:19 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $105,426
  • Medium data confidence (65)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 56.5% · Aug 12, 02:15 AM

51% 56% 61% Aug 11 Aug 11 Aug 11 Aug 12 Current 56.5% · 1d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

56.5%

24h Change

+3.0 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

Coverage

1d of stored history

29 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 12, 02:15 AM

View history table
Time Probability
8/12/2026, 2:15:00 AM 56.5%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 AM 60.0%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 AM 55.5%
8/12/2026, 12:00:00 AM 55.5%
8/11/2026, 11:00:00 PM 55.5%
8/11/2026, 10:00:00 PM 55.5%
8/11/2026, 9:00:00 PM 55.5%
8/11/2026, 8:00:00 PM 55.5%
8/11/2026, 7:00:00 PM 55.5%
8/11/2026, 6:00:00 PM 56.0%
8/11/2026, 5:00:00 PM 56.0%
8/11/2026, 4:00:00 PM 55.5%
8/11/2026, 3:00:00 PM 55.5%
8/11/2026, 2:00:00 PM 55.5%
8/11/2026, 1:00:00 PM 55.5%
8/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM 53.5%
8/11/2026, 11:00:00 AM 51.5%
8/11/2026, 10:00:00 AM 54.0%
8/11/2026, 9:00:00 AM 53.5%
8/11/2026, 8:00:00 AM 53.5%
8/11/2026, 7:00:00 AM 53.5%
8/11/2026, 6:00:00 AM 53.5%
8/11/2026, 5:00:00 AM 54.5%
8/11/2026, 4:00:00 AM 51.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+1.0 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

24h Volume

$176.8K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$105.4K

Market Significance

High (82)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 12, 2026

Attention Score

22

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 27/100.

Probability Momentum 10
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 92
Persistence 60
Data Confidence Medium (65)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.