Spread: Dallas Wings (-9.5)

Closed View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

0.5%

24h Change

-48.0 pp

Signal Score

72/100

Data Confidence

Medium (67)

24h probability fell 48.0pp

Market data

Updated 2 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-13 02:21 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $157,155
  • Medium data confidence (67)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 0.5% · Aug 13, 02:15 AM

0% 31% 63% Aug 12 Aug 12 Aug 12 Aug 13 Current 0.5% · 2d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

0.5%

24h Change

-48.0 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

48 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 13, 02:15 AM

View history table
Time Probability
8/13/2026, 2:15:00 AM 0.5%
8/13/2026, 2:00:00 AM 52.0%
8/13/2026, 1:00:00 AM 57.0%
8/13/2026, 12:00:00 AM 47.5%
8/12/2026, 11:00:00 PM 48.5%
8/12/2026, 10:00:00 PM 50.5%
8/12/2026, 9:00:00 PM 51.5%
8/12/2026, 8:00:00 PM 51.5%
8/12/2026, 7:00:00 PM 52.5%
8/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM 52.5%
8/12/2026, 5:00:00 PM 50.5%
8/12/2026, 4:00:00 PM 52.5%
8/12/2026, 3:00:00 PM 52.0%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM 52.0%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM 50.0%
8/12/2026, 12:00:00 PM 48.5%
8/12/2026, 11:00:00 AM 48.5%
8/12/2026, 10:00:00 AM 48.0%
8/12/2026, 9:00:00 AM 48.0%
8/12/2026, 8:00:00 AM 48.0%
8/12/2026, 7:00:00 AM 48.0%
8/12/2026, 6:00:00 AM 48.0%
8/12/2026, 5:00:00 AM 48.0%
8/12/2026, 4:00:00 AM 48.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-56.5 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

24h Volume

$78.8K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$157.2K

Market Significance

High (80)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 13, 2026

Attention Score

48

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 72/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 89
Persistence 91
Data Confidence Medium (67)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.