Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on August 11?

Closed View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

0.3%

24h Change

Unchanged

Signal Score

12/100

Data Confidence

Low (32)

Signal passed quality checks

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-12 02:19 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h history insufficient for probability change
Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $11,564

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.3%

24h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

Coverage

21h of stored history

24 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 12, 02:15 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/12/2026, 2:15:00 AM	0.3%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 AM	0.3%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 AM	0.8%
8/12/2026, 12:00:00 AM	5.0%
8/11/2026, 11:00:00 PM	5.4%
8/11/2026, 10:45:00 PM	6.1%
8/11/2026, 10:00:00 PM	7.8%
8/11/2026, 9:00:00 PM	7.4%
8/11/2026, 8:00:00 PM	18.1%
8/11/2026, 7:00:00 PM	41.3%
8/11/2026, 6:00:00 PM	22.4%
8/11/2026, 5:00:00 PM	35.1%
8/11/2026, 4:00:00 PM	33.8%
8/11/2026, 3:00:00 PM	21.5%
8/11/2026, 2:00:00 PM	7.4%
8/11/2026, 1:00:00 PM	5.3%
8/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM	4.0%
8/11/2026, 11:00:00 AM	6.5%
8/11/2026, 10:00:00 AM	7.5%
8/11/2026, 9:00:00 AM	9.0%
8/11/2026, 8:00:00 AM	13.0%
8/11/2026, 7:00:00 AM	20.5%
8/11/2026, 6:00:00 AM	19.5%
8/11/2026, 5:00:00 AM	16.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-0.5 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

24h Volume

$82.8K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$11.6K

Market Significance

Moderate (67)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 12, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 12/100.

Probability Momentum 0

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 82

Persistence 0

Data Confidence Low (32)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.

Back to radar Browse all markets View on Polymarket ↗