Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?
Current Probability
100.0%
24h Change
+60.0 pp
Signal Score
92/100
Data Confidence
High (84)
24h probability rose 60.0pp; volume is 6.0x the prior 6-day daily average
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability rose 60.0pp
- 24h volume is 6.0x the prior 6-day daily average
- Liquidity depth $11,484
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.
Browse other marketsCurrent
100.0%
24h Change
+60.0 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
+20.3 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$276.9K
Volume vs Baseline
6.0x baseline
Liquidity
$11.5K
Market Significance
High (78)
Market Status
Closed
End Date
Aug 21, 2026
Attention Score
97
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 92/100.