Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?
Current Probability
0.1%
24h Change
-24.8 pp
Signal Score
84/100
Data Confidence
High (87)
24h probability fell 24.8pp; volume is 3.8x the prior 6-day daily average
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability fell 24.8pp
- 24h volume is 3.8x the prior 6-day daily average
- Liquidity depth $57,403
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.
Browse other marketsCurrent
0.1%
24h Change
-24.8 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
-18.2 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$177.3K
Volume vs Baseline
3.8x baseline
Liquidity
$57.4K
Market Significance
High (81)
Market Status
Closed
End Date
Aug 21, 2026
Attention Score
84
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 84/100.