Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Dusan Lajovic vs Benjamin Bonzi

Open · Resolves in 6 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

13.5%

24h Change

Unchanged

Signal Score

13/100

Data Confidence

Low (33)

Signal passed quality checks

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-11 22:49 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h history insufficient for probability change
  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $162,770

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 13.5% · Aug 11, 10:45 PM

8% 27% 46% Aug 11 Aug 11 Aug 11 Aug 11 Current 13.5% · 18h of stored history · 20 pts

Current

13.5%

24h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

Coverage

18h of stored history

20 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 11, 10:45 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/11/2026, 10:45:00 PM 13.5%
8/11/2026, 10:00:00 PM 42.5%
8/11/2026, 9:00:00 PM 39.5%
8/11/2026, 8:45:00 PM 39.5%
8/11/2026, 8:00:00 PM 40.0%
8/11/2026, 7:00:00 PM 11.5%
8/11/2026, 6:00:00 PM 36.5%
8/11/2026, 5:00:00 PM 36.5%
8/11/2026, 4:00:00 PM 34.5%
8/11/2026, 3:00:00 PM 34.5%
8/11/2026, 2:00:00 PM 34.5%
8/11/2026, 1:00:00 PM 34.5%
8/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM 34.5%
8/11/2026, 11:00:00 AM 34.5%
8/11/2026, 10:00:00 AM 34.5%
8/11/2026, 9:00:00 AM 36.5%
8/11/2026, 8:00:00 AM 37.5%
8/11/2026, 7:00:00 AM 37.0%
8/11/2026, 6:00:00 AM 36.0%
8/11/2026, 5:00:00 AM 37.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-26.0 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

24h Volume

$84.0K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$162.8K

Market Significance

High (73)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 6 days

End Date

Aug 18, 2026

Attention Score

18

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 13/100.

Probability Momentum 0
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 89
Persistence 0
Data Confidence Low (33)

Next Steps

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