Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Mackenzie McDonald vs Yibing Wu
Current Probability
0.1%
24h Change
Unchanged
Signal Score
14/100
Data Confidence
Low (34)
Signal passed quality checks
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h history insufficient for probability change
- Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
- Liquidity depth $692,504
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Current
0.1%
24h Change
Unchanged
7d Change
Only 2d of listing history
Coverage
21h of stored history
View history table
| Time | Probability |
|---|---|
| 8/12/2026, 2:15:00 AM | 0.1% |
| 8/12/2026, 2:00:00 AM | 0.1% |
| 8/12/2026, 1:00:00 AM | 58.5% |
| 8/12/2026, 12:00:00 AM | 37.5% |
| 8/11/2026, 11:00:00 PM | 36.5% |
| 8/11/2026, 10:00:00 PM | 36.5% |
| 8/11/2026, 9:00:00 PM | 36.5% |
| 8/11/2026, 8:00:00 PM | 36.0% |
| 8/11/2026, 7:00:00 PM | 36.5% |
| 8/11/2026, 6:00:00 PM | 36.5% |
| 8/11/2026, 5:00:00 PM | 36.5% |
| 8/11/2026, 4:00:00 PM | 36.5% |
| 8/11/2026, 3:00:00 PM | 35.5% |
| 8/11/2026, 2:00:00 PM | 35.5% |
| 8/11/2026, 1:00:00 PM | 35.5% |
| 8/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM | 35.5% |
| 8/11/2026, 11:00:00 AM | 35.5% |
| 8/11/2026, 10:00:00 AM | 33.5% |
| 8/11/2026, 9:00:00 AM | 29.5% |
| 8/11/2026, 8:00:00 AM | 29.5% |
| 8/11/2026, 7:00:00 AM | 30.5% |
| 8/11/2026, 6:00:00 AM | 31.5% |
| 8/11/2026, 5:00:00 AM | 30.5% |
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
-58.5 pp
7d Change
Only 2d of listing history
24h Volume
$196.6K
Volume vs Baseline
Baseline unavailable
Liquidity
$692.5K
Market Significance
High (75)
Market Status
Open · Resolves in 6 days
End Date
Aug 18, 2026
Attention Score
19
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 14/100.
Probability Momentum
Strength of recent probability movement 0
Volume Activity
Trading activity versus the recent baseline 0
Liquidity Quality
Depth available to absorb orders without large price impact 93
Persistence
Whether the move holds across more than one lookback window 0
Data Confidence
Independent quality score for history coverage and data reliability Low (34)