Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Mackenzie McDonald vs Yibing Wu

Open · Resolves in 6 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

Unchanged

Signal Score

14/100

Data Confidence

Low (34)

Signal passed quality checks

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-12 02:19 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h history insufficient for probability change
  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $692,504

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 0.1% · Aug 12, 02:15 AM

0% 32% 64% Aug 11 Aug 11 Aug 11 Aug 12 Current 0.1% · 21h of stored history · 23 pts

Current

0.1%

24h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

Coverage

21h of stored history

23 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 12, 02:15 AM

View history table
Time Probability
8/12/2026, 2:15:00 AM 0.1%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 AM 0.1%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 AM 58.5%
8/12/2026, 12:00:00 AM 37.5%
8/11/2026, 11:00:00 PM 36.5%
8/11/2026, 10:00:00 PM 36.5%
8/11/2026, 9:00:00 PM 36.5%
8/11/2026, 8:00:00 PM 36.0%
8/11/2026, 7:00:00 PM 36.5%
8/11/2026, 6:00:00 PM 36.5%
8/11/2026, 5:00:00 PM 36.5%
8/11/2026, 4:00:00 PM 36.5%
8/11/2026, 3:00:00 PM 35.5%
8/11/2026, 2:00:00 PM 35.5%
8/11/2026, 1:00:00 PM 35.5%
8/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM 35.5%
8/11/2026, 11:00:00 AM 35.5%
8/11/2026, 10:00:00 AM 33.5%
8/11/2026, 9:00:00 AM 29.5%
8/11/2026, 8:00:00 AM 29.5%
8/11/2026, 7:00:00 AM 30.5%
8/11/2026, 6:00:00 AM 31.5%
8/11/2026, 5:00:00 AM 30.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-58.5 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

24h Volume

$196.6K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$692.5K

Market Significance

High (75)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 6 days

End Date

Aug 18, 2026

Attention Score

19

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 14/100.

Probability Momentum 0
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 93
Persistence 0
Data Confidence Low (34)

Next Steps

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