Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Henrique Rocha

Open · Resolves in 6 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

68.5%

24h Change

+1.5 pp

Signal Score

17/100

Data Confidence

Medium (59)

24h probability rose 1.5pp

Market data

Updated 5 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-12 22:45 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $35,894
Medium data confidence (59)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

68.5%

24h Change

+1.5 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

49 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 12, 10:45 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/12/2026, 10:45:00 PM	68.5%
8/12/2026, 10:00:00 PM	68.5%
8/12/2026, 9:00:00 PM	69.5%
8/12/2026, 8:45:00 PM	69.5%
8/12/2026, 8:00:00 PM	69.5%
8/12/2026, 7:00:00 PM	69.5%
8/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM	69.5%
8/12/2026, 5:00:00 PM	68.5%
8/12/2026, 4:00:00 PM	68.5%
8/12/2026, 3:00:00 PM	68.5%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM	68.0%
8/12/2026, 1:15:00 PM	67.5%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM	67.5%
8/12/2026, 12:00:00 PM	67.5%
8/12/2026, 11:00:00 AM	67.5%
8/12/2026, 10:00:00 AM	67.5%
8/12/2026, 9:15:00 AM	67.5%
8/12/2026, 9:00:00 AM	67.5%
8/12/2026, 8:00:00 AM	67.5%
8/12/2026, 7:30:00 AM	67.5%
8/12/2026, 7:00:00 AM	67.5%
8/12/2026, 6:00:00 AM	67.5%
8/12/2026, 5:30:00 AM	67.5%
8/12/2026, 5:00:00 AM	67.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-1.0 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

24h Volume

$214.7K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$35.9K

Market Significance

High (73)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 6 days

End Date

Aug 18, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 17/100.

Probability Momentum 5

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 90

Persistence 10

Data Confidence Medium (59)

Next Steps

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