Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Martin Damm vs Stefanos Sakellaridis

Open · Resolves in 6 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

57.5%

24h Change

Unchanged

Signal Score

14/100

Data Confidence

Low (34)

Signal passed quality checks

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-12 02:19 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h history insufficient for probability change
  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $362,621

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 57.5% · Aug 12, 02:15 AM

56% 66% 77% Aug 11 Aug 11 Aug 11 Aug 12 Current 57.5% · 21h of stored history · 25 pts

Current

57.5%

24h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

Coverage

21h of stored history

25 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 12, 02:15 AM

View history table
Time Probability
8/12/2026, 2:15:00 AM 57.5%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 AM 75.0%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 AM 74.5%
8/12/2026, 12:00:00 AM 74.5%
8/11/2026, 11:00:00 PM 74.5%
8/11/2026, 10:45:00 PM 74.5%
8/11/2026, 10:00:00 PM 73.5%
8/11/2026, 9:00:00 PM 73.5%
8/11/2026, 8:45:00 PM 73.5%
8/11/2026, 8:00:00 PM 72.5%
8/11/2026, 7:00:00 PM 72.5%
8/11/2026, 6:00:00 PM 72.5%
8/11/2026, 5:00:00 PM 72.5%
8/11/2026, 4:00:00 PM 72.5%
8/11/2026, 3:00:00 PM 72.5%
8/11/2026, 2:00:00 PM 72.5%
8/11/2026, 1:00:00 PM 71.5%
8/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM 71.5%
8/11/2026, 11:00:00 AM 72.5%
8/11/2026, 10:00:00 AM 71.5%
8/11/2026, 9:00:00 AM 71.5%
8/11/2026, 8:00:00 AM 71.5%
8/11/2026, 7:00:00 AM 72.5%
8/11/2026, 6:00:00 AM 74.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-17.0 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

24h Volume

$136.6K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$362.6K

Market Significance

High (74)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 6 days

End Date

Aug 18, 2026

Attention Score

18

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 14/100.

Probability Momentum 0
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 91
Persistence 0
Data Confidence Low (34)

Next Steps

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