Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Darwin Blanch

Open · Resolves in 6 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

60.5%

24h Change

+1.0 pp

Signal Score

18/100

Data Confidence

Medium (60)

24h probability rose 1.0pp

Market data

Updated 5 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-12 22:45 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $28,821
  • Medium data confidence (60)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 60.5% · Aug 12, 10:45 PM

58% 61% 63% Aug 11 Aug 12 Aug 12 Aug 12 Current 60.5% · 2d of stored history · 28 pts

Current

60.5%

24h Change

+1.0 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

46 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 12, 10:45 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/12/2026, 10:45:00 PM 60.5%
8/12/2026, 10:00:00 PM 60.5%
8/12/2026, 9:00:00 PM 60.5%
8/12/2026, 8:45:00 PM 60.5%
8/12/2026, 8:00:00 PM 61.5%
8/12/2026, 7:00:00 PM 62.5%
8/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM 62.5%
8/12/2026, 5:00:00 PM 62.5%
8/12/2026, 4:00:00 PM 61.5%
8/12/2026, 3:00:00 PM 61.5%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM 61.5%
8/12/2026, 1:15:00 PM 59.5%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM 59.5%
8/12/2026, 12:00:00 PM 59.5%
8/12/2026, 11:00:00 AM 59.5%
8/12/2026, 10:00:00 AM 59.5%
8/12/2026, 9:15:00 AM 59.5%
8/12/2026, 9:00:00 AM 59.5%
8/12/2026, 8:00:00 AM 59.5%
8/12/2026, 7:00:00 AM 59.5%
8/12/2026, 6:00:00 AM 59.5%
8/12/2026, 5:00:00 AM 59.5%
8/12/2026, 4:00:00 AM 59.5%
8/12/2026, 3:00:00 AM 59.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

24h Volume

$130.2K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$28.8K

Market Significance

High (71)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 6 days

End Date

Aug 18, 2026

Attention Score

18

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 18/100.

Probability Momentum 3
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 87
Persistence 20
Data Confidence Medium (60)

Next Steps

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