National Bank Open: Elina Svitolina vs Iga Swiatek

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

74.5%

24h Change

+43.0 pp

Signal Score

73/100

Data Confidence

Medium (69)

24h probability rose 43.0pp

Market data

Updated 2 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-13 02:21 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $491,850
Medium data confidence (69)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

74.5%

24h Change

+43.0 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

47 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 13, 02:15 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/13/2026, 2:15:00 AM	74.5%
8/13/2026, 2:00:00 AM	55.5%
8/13/2026, 1:00:00 AM	20.5%
8/13/2026, 12:00:00 AM	33.5%
8/12/2026, 11:00:00 PM	33.5%
8/12/2026, 10:00:00 PM	33.5%
8/12/2026, 9:00:00 PM	32.5%
8/12/2026, 8:00:00 PM	32.5%
8/12/2026, 7:00:00 PM	32.5%
8/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM	32.5%
8/12/2026, 5:00:00 PM	32.5%
8/12/2026, 4:00:00 PM	32.5%
8/12/2026, 3:00:00 PM	31.5%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM	31.5%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM	31.5%
8/12/2026, 12:00:00 PM	31.5%
8/12/2026, 11:00:00 AM	31.5%
8/12/2026, 10:00:00 AM	31.5%
8/12/2026, 9:00:00 AM	31.5%
8/12/2026, 8:00:00 AM	31.5%
8/12/2026, 7:00:00 AM	31.5%
8/12/2026, 6:00:00 AM	31.5%
8/12/2026, 5:00:00 AM	31.5%
8/12/2026, 4:00:00 AM	31.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+54.0 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

24h Volume

$700.0K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$491.8K

Market Significance

High (78)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 19, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 73/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 98

Persistence 88

Data Confidence Medium (69)

Next Steps

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