Brownsburg: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo

Open · Resolves in 6 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

100.0%

24h Change

+64.0 pp

Signal Score

68/100

Data Confidence

Medium (65)

24h probability rose 64.0pp

Market data

Updated 5 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-12 22:45 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $146,922
Medium data confidence (65)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

100.0%

24h Change

+64.0 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

Coverage

1d of stored history

38 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 12, 10:45 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/12/2026, 10:45:00 PM	100.0%
8/12/2026, 10:00:00 PM	79.0%
8/12/2026, 9:00:00 PM	78.0%
8/12/2026, 8:45:00 PM	78.0%
8/12/2026, 8:00:00 PM	77.5%
8/12/2026, 7:00:00 PM	76.5%
8/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM	77.5%
8/12/2026, 5:00:00 PM	79.0%
8/12/2026, 4:00:00 PM	36.5%
8/12/2026, 3:00:00 PM	63.5%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM	36.5%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM	36.5%
8/12/2026, 12:00:00 PM	36.5%
8/12/2026, 11:00:00 AM	36.5%
8/12/2026, 10:00:00 AM	36.5%
8/12/2026, 9:00:00 AM	36.5%
8/12/2026, 8:00:00 AM	36.5%
8/12/2026, 7:00:00 AM	36.5%
8/12/2026, 6:00:00 AM	36.5%
8/12/2026, 5:00:00 AM	36.5%
8/12/2026, 4:00:00 AM	36.5%
8/12/2026, 3:00:00 AM	35.5%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 AM	35.5%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 AM	35.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+22.0 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

24h Volume

$184.7K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$146.9K

Market Significance

High (75)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 6 days

End Date

Aug 18, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 68/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 93

Persistence 61

Data Confidence Medium (65)

Next Steps

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