Todi: Filippo Romano vs Juan Bautista Torres

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

51.0%

24h Change

+5.0 pp

Signal Score

28/100

Data Confidence

Medium (63)

24h probability rose 5.0pp

Market data

Updated 13 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-12 15:01 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $334,489
Medium data confidence (63)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

51.0%

24h Change

+5.0 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

Coverage

1d of stored history

29 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 12, 03:00 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/12/2026, 3:00:00 PM	51.0%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM	18.5%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM	46.5%
8/12/2026, 12:00:00 PM	46.5%
8/12/2026, 11:00:00 AM	46.5%
8/12/2026, 10:00:00 AM	46.5%
8/12/2026, 9:00:00 AM	46.5%
8/12/2026, 8:00:00 AM	46.5%
8/12/2026, 7:00:00 AM	45.5%
8/12/2026, 6:00:00 AM	45.5%
8/12/2026, 5:00:00 AM	45.5%
8/12/2026, 4:00:00 AM	45.5%
8/12/2026, 3:00:00 AM	45.5%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 AM	46.0%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 AM	45.5%
8/12/2026, 12:00:00 AM	45.0%
8/11/2026, 11:00:00 PM	44.5%
8/11/2026, 10:00:00 PM	44.5%
8/11/2026, 9:00:00 PM	46.0%
8/11/2026, 8:00:00 PM	46.0%
8/11/2026, 7:00:00 PM	44.5%
8/11/2026, 6:00:00 PM	44.5%
8/11/2026, 5:00:00 PM	43.0%
8/11/2026, 4:00:00 PM	42.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+32.5 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

24h Volume

$104.5K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$334.5K

Market Significance

High (74)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 19, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 28/100.

Probability Momentum 17

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 90

Persistence 49

Data Confidence Medium (63)

Next Steps

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