Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-2.5)

Closed View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

42.0%

24h Change

Unchanged

Signal Score

13/100

Data Confidence

Low (33)

Signal passed quality checks

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-12 02:19 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h history insufficient for probability change
  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $131,829

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 42.0% · Aug 12, 02:15 AM

41% 46% 50% Aug 11 Aug 11 Aug 11 Aug 12 Current 42.0% · 11h of stored history · 13 pts

Current

42.0%

24h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

Coverage

11h of stored history

13 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 12, 02:15 AM

View history table
Time Probability
8/12/2026, 2:15:00 AM 42.0%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 AM 46.5%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 AM 46.5%
8/12/2026, 12:00:00 AM 46.5%
8/11/2026, 11:00:00 PM 49.5%
8/11/2026, 10:00:00 PM 49.5%
8/11/2026, 9:00:00 PM 49.5%
8/11/2026, 8:00:00 PM 49.5%
8/11/2026, 7:00:00 PM 49.5%
8/11/2026, 6:00:00 PM 48.5%
8/11/2026, 5:00:00 PM 48.5%
8/11/2026, 4:00:00 PM 49.5%
8/11/2026, 3:00:00 PM 49.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-4.5 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

24h Volume

$96.1K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$131.8K

Market Significance

High (81)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 12, 2026

Attention Score

18

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 13/100.

Probability Momentum 0
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 90
Persistence 0
Data Confidence Low (33)

Next Steps

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