Astana: Fajing Sun vs Semen Pankin

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

83.5%

24h Change

+25.0 pp

Signal Score

14/100

Data Confidence

Low (34)

Signal passed quality checks

Market data

Updated 17 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-12 11:02 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h history insufficient for probability change
Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $232,331

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

83.5%

24h Change

+25.0 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

Coverage

18h of stored history

20 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 12, 11:00 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/12/2026, 11:00:00 AM	83.5%
8/12/2026, 10:00:00 AM	33.5%
8/12/2026, 9:15:00 AM	33.5%
8/12/2026, 9:00:00 AM	44.5%
8/12/2026, 8:00:00 AM	61.5%
8/12/2026, 7:00:00 AM	59.5%
8/12/2026, 6:00:00 AM	59.5%
8/12/2026, 5:00:00 AM	58.5%
8/12/2026, 4:00:00 AM	58.5%
8/12/2026, 3:00:00 AM	57.5%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 AM	57.5%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 AM	57.5%
8/12/2026, 12:00:00 AM	58.5%
8/11/2026, 11:00:00 PM	58.0%
8/11/2026, 10:00:00 PM	59.0%
8/11/2026, 9:00:00 PM	59.5%
8/11/2026, 8:00:00 PM	59.5%
8/11/2026, 7:00:00 PM	60.5%
8/11/2026, 6:00:00 PM	60.5%
8/11/2026, 5:00:00 PM	63.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+50.0 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

24h Volume

$339.6K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$232.3K

Market Significance

High (77)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 19, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 14/100.

Probability Momentum 0

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 95

Persistence 0

Data Confidence Low (34)

Next Steps

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