Todi: Daniel Galan vs Federico Agustin Gomez

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-44.5 pp

Signal Score

73/100

Data Confidence

Medium (68)

24h probability fell 44.5pp

Market data

Updated 7 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-12 20:51 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $379,406
Medium data confidence (68)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-44.5 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

Coverage

1d of stored history

30 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 12, 08:45 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/12/2026, 8:45:00 PM	0.1%
8/12/2026, 8:00:00 PM	20.5%
8/12/2026, 7:00:00 PM	41.5%
8/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM	41.5%
8/12/2026, 5:00:00 PM	39.5%
8/12/2026, 4:00:00 PM	41.5%
8/12/2026, 3:00:00 PM	41.5%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM	41.5%
8/12/2026, 1:15:00 PM	41.5%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM	41.5%
8/12/2026, 12:00:00 PM	40.5%
8/12/2026, 11:00:00 AM	41.5%
8/12/2026, 10:00:00 AM	41.5%
8/12/2026, 9:00:00 AM	43.5%
8/12/2026, 8:00:00 AM	43.5%
8/12/2026, 7:00:00 AM	43.5%
8/12/2026, 6:00:00 AM	43.5%
8/12/2026, 5:00:00 AM	44.5%
8/12/2026, 4:00:00 AM	44.5%
8/12/2026, 3:00:00 AM	44.5%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 AM	44.5%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 AM	44.0%
8/12/2026, 12:00:00 AM	44.0%
8/11/2026, 11:00:00 PM	44.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-41.4 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

24h Volume

$112.1K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$379.4K

Market Significance

High (74)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 19, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 73/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 91

Persistence 96

Data Confidence Medium (68)

Next Steps

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