Todi: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Maxim Mrva

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-54.5 pp

Signal Score

62/100

Data Confidence

Medium (61)

24h probability fell 54.5pp

Market data

Updated 7 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-12 20:51 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $266,785
Medium data confidence (61)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-54.5 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

Coverage

1d of stored history

29 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 12, 08:45 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/12/2026, 8:45:00 PM	0.1%
8/12/2026, 8:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/12/2026, 7:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM	44.5%
8/12/2026, 5:00:00 PM	60.5%
8/12/2026, 4:00:00 PM	72.5%
8/12/2026, 3:00:00 PM	63.5%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM	62.5%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM	60.5%
8/12/2026, 12:00:00 PM	60.5%
8/12/2026, 11:00:00 AM	60.5%
8/12/2026, 10:00:00 AM	58.5%
8/12/2026, 9:00:00 AM	58.5%
8/12/2026, 8:00:00 AM	58.5%
8/12/2026, 7:00:00 AM	59.5%
8/12/2026, 6:00:00 AM	58.5%
8/12/2026, 5:00:00 AM	58.5%
8/12/2026, 4:00:00 AM	58.0%
8/12/2026, 3:00:00 AM	56.5%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 AM	55.5%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 AM	55.0%
8/12/2026, 12:00:00 AM	55.5%
8/11/2026, 11:00:00 PM	55.5%
8/11/2026, 10:00:00 PM	55.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

24h Volume

$160.1K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$266.8K

Market Significance

High (75)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 19, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 62/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 92

Persistence 20

Data Confidence Medium (61)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.

Back to radar Browse all markets View on Polymarket ↗