Spread: Chiefs (-4.5)

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Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-55.5 pp

Signal Score

94/100

Data Confidence

High (86)

24h probability fell 55.5pp; volume is 1151.2x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 5 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-21 04:13 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability fell 55.5pp
24h volume is 1151.2x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $76,860

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-55.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

163 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 21, 04:00 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/21/2026, 4:00:00 AM	0.1%
9/21/2026, 3:00:00 AM	27.5%
9/21/2026, 2:00:00 AM	35.5%
9/21/2026, 1:00:00 AM	55.0%
9/21/2026, 12:00:00 AM	53.5%
9/20/2026, 11:00:00 PM	52.5%
9/20/2026, 10:00:00 PM	52.5%
9/20/2026, 9:00:00 PM	52.5%
9/20/2026, 8:00:00 PM	52.5%
9/20/2026, 7:00:00 PM	52.5%
9/20/2026, 6:00:00 PM	52.5%
9/20/2026, 5:00:00 PM	52.5%
9/20/2026, 4:00:00 PM	52.5%
9/20/2026, 3:00:00 PM	53.5%
9/20/2026, 2:00:00 PM	53.5%
9/20/2026, 1:00:00 PM	53.5%
9/20/2026, 12:00:00 PM	53.5%
9/20/2026, 11:00:00 AM	53.5%
9/20/2026, 10:00:00 AM	53.5%
9/20/2026, 9:00:00 AM	53.5%
9/20/2026, 8:00:00 AM	53.5%
9/20/2026, 7:00:00 AM	53.5%
9/20/2026, 6:00:00 AM	53.5%
9/20/2026, 5:00:00 AM	53.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-27.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$191.9K

Volume vs Baseline

1151.2x baseline

Liquidity

$76.9K

Market Significance

High (82)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 21, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 94/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 100

Liquidity Quality 92

Persistence 70

Data Confidence High (86)

Next Steps

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