Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)

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Current Probability

69.5%

24h Change

+22.0 pp

Signal Score

81/100

Data Confidence

High (85)

24h probability rose 22.0pp; volume is 351.4x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 2 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-20 22:17 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability rose 22.0pp
  • 24h volume is 351.4x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $39,663

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 69.5% · Sep 20, 10:15 PM

45% 61% 76% Sep 19 Sep 20 Sep 20 Sep 20 Current 69.5% · 7d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

69.5%

24h Change

+22.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

167 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 20, 10:15 PM

View history table
Time Probability
9/20/2026, 10:15:00 PM 69.5%
9/20/2026, 10:00:00 PM 73.5%
9/20/2026, 9:00:00 PM 61.5%
9/20/2026, 8:00:00 PM 47.5%
9/20/2026, 7:00:00 PM 47.5%
9/20/2026, 6:00:00 PM 47.5%
9/20/2026, 5:00:00 PM 47.5%
9/20/2026, 4:00:00 PM 47.5%
9/20/2026, 3:00:00 PM 47.5%
9/20/2026, 2:00:00 PM 47.5%
9/20/2026, 1:00:00 PM 47.5%
9/20/2026, 12:00:00 PM 47.5%
9/20/2026, 11:00:00 AM 47.5%
9/20/2026, 10:00:00 AM 47.5%
9/20/2026, 9:00:00 AM 47.5%
9/20/2026, 8:00:00 AM 47.5%
9/20/2026, 7:00:00 AM 47.5%
9/20/2026, 6:00:00 AM 47.5%
9/20/2026, 5:00:00 AM 47.5%
9/20/2026, 4:00:00 AM 47.5%
9/20/2026, 3:00:00 AM 47.5%
9/20/2026, 2:00:00 AM 47.5%
9/20/2026, 1:00:00 AM 47.5%
9/20/2026, 12:00:00 AM 47.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+8.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$286.6K

Volume vs Baseline

351.4x baseline

Liquidity

$39.7K

Market Significance

High (81)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 20, 2026

Attention Score

90

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 81/100.

Probability Momentum 73
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 91
Persistence 62
Data Confidence High (85)

Next Steps

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