Spread: Broncos (-3.5)

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Current Probability

18.0%

24h Change

-24.5 pp

Signal Score

83/100

Data Confidence

High (84)

24h probability fell 24.5pp; volume is 1080.4x the prior 6-day daily average

Data may be stale — last sync exceeded two update cycles. Freshness updates on the next successful sync.

Market data

Updated 11 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-20 22:17 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability fell 24.5pp
  • 24h volume is 1080.4x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $28,414

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 18.0% · Sep 20, 10:15 PM

7% 27% 47% Sep 19 Sep 20 Sep 20 Sep 20 Current 18.0% · 7d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

18.0%

24h Change

-24.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

157 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 20, 10:15 PM

View history table
Time Probability
9/20/2026, 10:15:00 PM 18.0%
9/20/2026, 10:00:00 PM 10.5%
9/20/2026, 9:00:00 PM 24.5%
9/20/2026, 8:00:00 PM 41.5%
9/20/2026, 7:00:00 PM 42.5%
9/20/2026, 6:00:00 PM 42.5%
9/20/2026, 5:00:00 PM 42.5%
9/20/2026, 4:00:00 PM 42.5%
9/20/2026, 3:00:00 PM 42.5%
9/20/2026, 2:00:00 PM 42.5%
9/20/2026, 1:00:00 PM 42.5%
9/20/2026, 12:00:00 PM 42.5%
9/20/2026, 11:00:00 AM 43.5%
9/20/2026, 10:00:00 AM 43.5%
9/20/2026, 9:00:00 AM 42.5%
9/20/2026, 8:00:00 AM 42.5%
9/20/2026, 7:00:00 AM 42.5%
9/20/2026, 6:00:00 AM 42.5%
9/20/2026, 5:00:00 AM 42.5%
9/20/2026, 4:00:00 AM 42.5%
9/20/2026, 3:00:00 AM 42.5%
9/20/2026, 2:00:00 AM 42.5%
9/20/2026, 1:00:00 AM 42.5%
9/20/2026, 12:00:00 AM 42.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-6.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$190.4K

Volume vs Baseline

1080.4x baseline

Liquidity

$28.4K

Market Significance

High (79)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 20, 2026

Attention Score

92

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 83/100.

Probability Momentum 82
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 88
Persistence 56
Data Confidence High (84)

Next Steps

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