Spread: Texans (-3.5)

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Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-43.5 pp

Signal Score

87/100

Data Confidence

High (81)

24h probability fell 43.5pp; volume is 332.0x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 14 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-20 22:17 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability fell 43.5pp
  • 24h volume is 332.0x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $80,577

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 0.1% · Sep 20, 10:15 PM

0% 28% 56% Sep 19 Sep 20 Sep 20 Sep 20 Current 0.1% · 7d of stored history · 26 pts

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-43.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

156 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 20, 10:15 PM

View history table
Time Probability
9/20/2026, 10:15:00 PM 0.1%
9/20/2026, 10:00:00 PM 0.1%
9/20/2026, 9:00:00 PM 0.1%
9/20/2026, 8:00:00 PM 3.9%
9/20/2026, 7:00:00 PM 18.0%
9/20/2026, 6:30:00 PM 34.5%
9/20/2026, 6:00:00 PM 50.5%
9/20/2026, 5:00:00 PM 43.5%
9/20/2026, 4:00:00 PM 43.5%
9/20/2026, 3:00:00 PM 43.5%
9/20/2026, 2:00:00 PM 43.5%
9/20/2026, 1:00:00 PM 43.5%
9/20/2026, 12:00:00 PM 42.5%
9/20/2026, 11:00:00 AM 42.5%
9/20/2026, 10:00:00 AM 42.5%
9/20/2026, 9:00:00 AM 42.5%
9/20/2026, 8:00:00 AM 42.5%
9/20/2026, 7:00:00 AM 42.5%
9/20/2026, 6:00:00 AM 43.5%
9/20/2026, 5:00:00 AM 43.5%
9/20/2026, 4:00:00 AM 43.5%
9/20/2026, 3:00:00 AM 43.5%
9/20/2026, 2:00:00 AM 43.5%
9/20/2026, 1:00:00 AM 43.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$167.9K

Volume vs Baseline

332.0x baseline

Liquidity

$80.6K

Market Significance

High (81)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 20, 2026

Attention Score

98

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 87/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 92
Persistence 20
Data Confidence High (81)

Next Steps

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