Spread: Bears (-4.5)

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Current Probability

28.0%

24h Change

-22.0 pp

Signal Score

87/100

Data Confidence

High (89)

24h probability fell 22.0pp; volume is 91.2x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 13 minutes ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-20 18:35 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability fell 22.0pp
24h volume is 91.2x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $27,251

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

28.0%

24h Change

-22.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

169 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 20, 06:30 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/20/2026, 6:30:00 PM	28.0%
9/20/2026, 6:00:00 PM	40.0%
9/20/2026, 5:00:00 PM	49.5%
9/20/2026, 4:00:00 PM	49.5%
9/20/2026, 3:45:00 PM	49.5%
9/20/2026, 3:00:00 PM	49.5%
9/20/2026, 2:00:00 PM	49.5%
9/20/2026, 1:00:00 PM	49.5%
9/20/2026, 12:00:00 PM	49.5%
9/20/2026, 11:00:00 AM	50.5%
9/20/2026, 10:00:00 AM	49.5%
9/20/2026, 9:00:00 AM	49.5%
9/20/2026, 8:00:00 AM	49.5%
9/20/2026, 7:00:00 AM	49.5%
9/20/2026, 6:00:00 AM	49.5%
9/20/2026, 5:00:00 AM	49.5%
9/20/2026, 4:00:00 AM	49.5%
9/20/2026, 3:00:00 AM	50.5%
9/20/2026, 2:00:00 AM	50.5%
9/20/2026, 1:00:00 AM	50.5%
9/20/2026, 12:00:00 AM	50.5%
9/19/2026, 11:00:00 PM	49.5%
9/19/2026, 10:00:00 PM	49.5%
9/19/2026, 9:00:00 PM	50.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-21.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$582.6K

Volume vs Baseline

91.2x baseline

Liquidity

$27.3K

Market Significance

High (82)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 20, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 87/100.

Probability Momentum 73

Volume Activity 100

Liquidity Quality 93

Persistence 99

Data Confidence High (89)

Next Steps

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