Spread: Bills (-6.5)

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Current Probability

100.0%

24h Change

+54.4 pp

Signal Score

96/100

Data Confidence

High (87)

24h probability rose 54.4pp; volume is 522.3x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-18 04:33 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability rose 54.4pp
24h volume is 522.3x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $230,014

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

100.0%

24h Change

+54.4 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

126 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 18, 04:30 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/18/2026, 4:30:00 AM	100.0%
9/18/2026, 4:00:00 AM	100.0%
9/18/2026, 3:00:00 AM	70.0%
9/18/2026, 2:00:00 AM	82.0%
9/18/2026, 1:00:00 AM	89.0%
9/18/2026, 12:00:00 AM	46.5%
9/17/2026, 11:00:00 PM	46.5%
9/17/2026, 10:00:00 PM	46.5%
9/17/2026, 9:00:00 PM	46.5%
9/17/2026, 8:00:00 PM	46.5%
9/17/2026, 7:00:00 PM	46.5%
9/17/2026, 6:00:00 PM	46.5%
9/17/2026, 5:00:00 PM	45.5%
9/17/2026, 4:00:00 PM	45.5%
9/17/2026, 3:00:00 PM	45.5%
9/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM	45.5%
9/17/2026, 1:00:00 PM	45.5%
9/17/2026, 12:00:00 PM	45.5%
9/17/2026, 11:00:00 AM	45.5%
9/17/2026, 10:00:00 AM	45.5%
9/17/2026, 9:00:00 AM	45.5%
9/17/2026, 8:00:00 AM	45.5%
9/17/2026, 7:00:00 AM	45.5%
9/17/2026, 6:00:00 AM	45.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+30.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$827.8K

Volume vs Baseline

522.3x baseline

Liquidity

$230.0K

Market Significance

High (86)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 18, 2026

Attention Score

100

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 96/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 100

Liquidity Quality 99

Persistence 73

Data Confidence High (87)

Next Steps

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