Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5

Closed View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

39.5%

24h Change

-16.0 pp

Signal Score

14/100

Data Confidence

Low (34)

Signal passed quality checks

Market data

Updated 9 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-12 19:06 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h history insufficient for probability change
  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $79,200

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 39.5% · Aug 12, 07:00 PM

38% 48% 57% Aug 11 Aug 12 Aug 12 Aug 12 Current 39.5% · 23h of stored history · 24 pts

Current

39.5%

24h Change

-16.0 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

Coverage

23h of stored history

24 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 12, 07:00 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/12/2026, 7:00:00 PM 39.5%
8/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM 52.5%
8/12/2026, 5:00:00 PM 53.5%
8/12/2026, 4:00:00 PM 53.5%
8/12/2026, 3:00:00 PM 52.5%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM 53.5%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM 53.5%
8/12/2026, 12:00:00 PM 53.5%
8/12/2026, 11:00:00 AM 53.5%
8/12/2026, 10:00:00 AM 53.5%
8/12/2026, 9:00:00 AM 53.5%
8/12/2026, 8:00:00 AM 53.5%
8/12/2026, 7:00:00 AM 54.5%
8/12/2026, 6:00:00 AM 55.5%
8/12/2026, 5:00:00 AM 55.5%
8/12/2026, 4:00:00 AM 55.5%
8/12/2026, 3:00:00 AM 55.5%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 AM 55.5%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 AM 55.5%
8/12/2026, 12:00:00 AM 55.5%
8/11/2026, 11:00:00 PM 55.5%
8/11/2026, 10:00:00 PM 55.5%
8/11/2026, 9:00:00 PM 55.5%
8/11/2026, 8:00:00 PM 55.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-13.0 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

24h Volume

$451.8K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$79.2K

Market Significance

High (84)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 12, 2026

Attention Score

19

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 14/100.

Probability Momentum 0
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 96
Persistence 0
Data Confidence Low (34)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.