Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)

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Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-25.4 pp

Signal Score

63/100

Data Confidence

Medium (66)

24h probability fell 25.4pp

Market data

Updated 2 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-13 02:21 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $192,045
Medium data confidence (66)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-25.4 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

Coverage

1d of stored history

32 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 13, 02:15 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/13/2026, 2:15:00 AM	0.1%
8/13/2026, 2:00:00 AM	0.9%
8/13/2026, 1:00:00 AM	15.5%
8/13/2026, 12:00:00 AM	42.5%
8/12/2026, 11:00:00 PM	24.5%
8/12/2026, 10:00:00 PM	24.5%
8/12/2026, 9:00:00 PM	24.5%
8/12/2026, 8:00:00 PM	24.5%
8/12/2026, 7:00:00 PM	24.5%
8/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM	24.5%
8/12/2026, 5:00:00 PM	24.5%
8/12/2026, 4:00:00 PM	24.5%
8/12/2026, 3:00:00 PM	24.5%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM	24.5%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM	25.0%
8/12/2026, 12:00:00 PM	25.0%
8/12/2026, 11:00:00 AM	24.5%
8/12/2026, 10:00:00 AM	24.5%
8/12/2026, 9:00:00 AM	24.5%
8/12/2026, 8:00:00 AM	24.5%
8/12/2026, 7:00:00 AM	24.5%
8/12/2026, 6:00:00 AM	24.5%
8/12/2026, 5:00:00 AM	25.0%
8/12/2026, 4:00:00 AM	25.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-15.4 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

24h Volume

$120.7K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$192.0K

Market Significance

High (81)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 12, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 63/100.

Probability Momentum 85

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 91

Persistence 76

Data Confidence Medium (66)

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