Bitcoin Up or Down on August 14?

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Current Probability

0.8%

24h Change

-49.8 pp

Signal Score

65/100

Data Confidence

Medium (63)

24h probability fell 49.8pp

Data may be stale — last sync exceeded two update cycles. Freshness updates on the next successful sync.

Market data

Updated 37 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-14 14:55 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $29,524
  • Medium data confidence (63)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

No samples yet

Not enough history to chart yet (2d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.

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Current

0.8%

24h Change

-49.8 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

2d of stored history

0 stored snapshots

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-5.8 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$192.3K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$29.5K

Market Significance

High (72)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 14, 2026

Attention Score

48

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 65/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 89
Persistence 47
Data Confidence Medium (63)

Next Steps

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