Bitcoin Up or Down on August 15?
Current Probability
50.5%
24h Change
-2.0 pp
Signal Score
23/100
Data Confidence
Medium (63)
24h probability fell 2.0pp
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
- Liquidity depth $23,566
- Medium data confidence (63)
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Not enough history to chart yet (2d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.
Browse other marketsCurrent
50.5%
24h Change
-2.0 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
2d of stored history
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
-16.0 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$256.6K
Volume vs Baseline
Baseline unavailable
Liquidity
$23.6K
Market Significance
High (72)
Market Status
Closed
End Date
Aug 15, 2026
Attention Score
20
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 23/100.