Will Geno Ploeger be the runner-up of AGT Season 21?

Open · Resolves in 99 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

99.9%

24h Change

+70.3 pp

Signal Score

64/100

Data Confidence

High (72)

24h probability rose 70.3pp

Market data

Updated 9 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-24 04:01 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $32,435
High data confidence (72)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

99.9%

24h Change

+70.3 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

159 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 24, 04:00 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/24/2026, 4:00:00 AM	99.9%
9/24/2026, 3:00:00 AM	99.5%
9/24/2026, 2:00:00 AM	33.5%
9/24/2026, 1:00:00 AM	39.0%
9/24/2026, 12:00:00 AM	43.0%
9/23/2026, 11:00:00 PM	53.0%
9/23/2026, 10:00:00 PM	51.5%
9/23/2026, 9:00:00 PM	33.5%
9/23/2026, 8:00:00 PM	32.0%
9/23/2026, 7:00:00 PM	31.5%
9/23/2026, 6:00:00 PM	25.5%
9/23/2026, 5:00:00 PM	46.5%
9/23/2026, 4:00:00 PM	25.5%
9/23/2026, 3:00:00 PM	44.5%
9/23/2026, 2:00:00 PM	44.5%
9/23/2026, 1:00:00 PM	43.5%
9/23/2026, 12:00:00 PM	39.5%
9/23/2026, 11:00:00 AM	30.0%
9/23/2026, 10:00:00 AM	13.0%
9/23/2026, 9:00:00 AM	31.0%
9/23/2026, 8:00:00 AM	31.5%
9/23/2026, 7:00:00 AM	32.5%
9/23/2026, 6:00:00 AM	36.5%
9/23/2026, 5:00:00 AM	32.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+0.4 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$96.9K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$32.4K

Market Significance

High (74)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 99 days

End Date

Jan 1, 2027

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 64/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 86

Persistence 40

Data Confidence High (72)

Next Steps

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