Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?

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Current Probability

99.0%

24h Change

+0.8 pp

Signal Score

41/100

Data Confidence

High (86)

24h probability rose 0.8pp; volume is 2.5x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 20 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-04 18:54 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability rose 0.8pp
  • 24h volume is 2.5x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $18,648

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

No samples yet

Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.

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Current

99.0%

24h Change

+0.8 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

0 stored snapshots

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+0.6 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$77.1K

Volume vs Baseline

2.5x baseline

Liquidity

$18.6K

Market Significance

Moderate (69)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 16, 2026

Attention Score

46

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 41/100.

Probability Momentum 3
Volume Activity 58
Liquidity Quality 83
Persistence 88
Data Confidence High (86)

Next Steps

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