Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?
Current Probability
0.3%
24h Change
+0.1 pp
Signal Score
49/100
Data Confidence
High (85)
volume is 5.7x the prior 6-day daily average
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability was effectively unchanged
- 24h volume is 5.7x the prior 6-day daily average
- Liquidity depth $31,469
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.
Browse other marketsCurrent
0.3%
24h Change
+0.1 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
+0.1 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$139.8K
Volume vs Baseline
5.7x baseline
Liquidity
$31.5K
Market Significance
High (71)
Market Status
Closed
End Date
Aug 25, 2026
Attention Score
68
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 49/100.