Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?
Current Probability
0.1%
24h Change
-23.9 pp
Signal Score
82/100
Data Confidence
High (84)
24h probability fell 23.9pp; volume is 5.5x the prior 6-day daily average
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability fell 23.9pp
- 24h volume is 5.5x the prior 6-day daily average
- Liquidity depth $100,483
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.
Browse other marketsCurrent
0.1%
24h Change
-23.9 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
-4.5 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$139.9K
Volume vs Baseline
5.5x baseline
Liquidity
$100.5K
Market Significance
High (74)
Market Status
Closed
End Date
Aug 25, 2026
Attention Score
92
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 82/100.