Bitcoin Up or Down on August 18?

Closed View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

97.6%

24h Change

+47.1 pp

Signal Score

73/100

Data Confidence

Medium (68)

24h probability rose 47.1pp

Market data

Updated 33 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-18 14:37 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $23,119
  • Medium data confidence (68)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

No samples yet

Not enough history to chart yet (2d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.

Browse other markets

Current

97.6%

24h Change

+47.1 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

2d of stored history

0 stored snapshots

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+42.1 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$304.4K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$23.1K

Market Significance

High (72)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 18, 2026

Attention Score

48

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 73/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 90
Persistence 94
Data Confidence Medium (68)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.