Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?
Current Probability
0.1%
24h Change
-3.9 pp
Signal Score
26/100
Data Confidence
High (73)
24h probability fell 3.9pp
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
- Liquidity depth $58,866
- High data confidence (73)
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Not enough history to chart yet (5d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.
Browse other marketsCurrent
0.1%
24h Change
-3.9 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
5d of stored history
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
-0.1 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$214.1K
Volume vs Baseline
Baseline unavailable
Liquidity
$58.9K
Market Significance
High (81)
Market Status
Closed
End Date
Aug 22, 2026
Attention Score
22
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 26/100.